NFL 2021 Betting Tips – Thanksgiving Special

Want to bet on the Thanksgiving Day games of the 2021 NFL Season? Here we have you covered. Any questions or comments can be left under the post or on twitter: @AndresOrnelasH.

NOTE: This article only covers the matches of this Thursday, November 25. To consult all the matches of week 12, we will have the other usual article.

Remember that the lines are calculated on the day the article is published. If you cannot find a line for one or more games, we will try to update on Friday or Saturday depending on the information available.

Glossary and Notes:

• ATS: against the spread (or rate)
• YPP: yards per game
• PPP: points per game
• NYPP: Net Yards Per Play (Offensive Yards Per Play minus Defensive Yards Per Play) / This statistic eliminates the “luck” of the turnovers.
• DVOA: “Defense-adjusted Value Over Average”
• Games that start with an asterisk
• are the ones that count for the Top 5 section and more information is given in the section of the same name

For the purposes of this post, the team that has bold is the one that covers the spread, and therefore the side that I am predicting to win the bet, regardless of whether it wins or loses on the scoreboard.

NFL 2021 Predictions – Thanksgiving Special

Thursday, November 25

Bears @ Lions (+3, 41.5)

Tim Boyle had 77 yards passing last game, and this is not going to change. The Lions only have to run the ball without discretion. The Bears probably fill the box with 8 or 9 players between the tackles knowing that.

On the flip side, the Bears are also going to want to establish the run with a lazy quarterback: Andy Dalton hasn’t played a starting game since early October. To the spread

I don’t come close, but go chase the 3.5 line to hit the Lions hard. The Bears have too many injuries and the Lions are still somewhat motivated to play.

• Other important data:
• Bears: # 31 in yards per play

Lions: # 28 in yards per play.

Prediction: Lions 10, Bears 13 – DOWN

Picks: DOWN 41.5, DOWN 1H 20.5

Raiders @ Cowboys (-7.5, 51)

The Raiders are destroyed inside. The head coach has no control of the team, they play at half throttle every game since the one after Jon Gruden left.

There is no doubt that Dallas is going to want to establish the race; in itself it is his personality, more now with injuries in the aerial game. With that, we further know that Las Vegas is # 29 against the race. I would never support a team as unmotivated as the Raiders, but it scares me. the line because of how it is built with thehook

. Fun fact: the Cowboys are not the public pick: 51% of the tickets and just 65% of the money.

Cool candidate for teaser. Prediction: Cowboys 24,

Raiders 17

Pick in the next game

Bills @ Saints (+6, 45) Let’s be clear: the Bills are a better team than the Saints today. In addition, the matchup

he completely favors the Bills, who are a passing team by nature, and the Saints are much better at stopping the run than passing. In fact, based on their DVOA numbers, they’re pretty mediocre against the pass. This game is going to be won by the Bills, I just don’t know by how much, why go with him spread

is completely the public pick and therefore: Forecast:Saints 17

, Bills 21 – LOW

Pick: TEASER COWBOYS -1.5, BILLS PK